Option Country
← Week 4 board

Navy @ UAB

9/25/2026, 11:00:00 PM · ESPN · 75° · Wind 2 mph · Fair · 20–24 F

Line movement

Home spread. Open +11.5 → now +6.5 · total 50.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
Bovada+6.550.0
DraftKings+6.550.5

UAB ML · Model 32% · Book 30%

Navy +7 days restNavy travels 686 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

OC Spread UAB +5.5OC Total 54.01.2 pts vs market
NavyPower ratingsUAB
SP+Navy by 8.8
-1.6
-10.4
FPINavy by 8.8
-5.3
-14.0
Elo (pts)Navy by 5.0
-0.2
-5.2
CORENavy by 4.5
1.4
-3.1
WEPANavy by 3.1
0.2
-2.9
SRSNavy by 5.7
-6.2
-11.9

Head-to-head

Last 3: SU 0-3 · ATS 0-0 from UAB's side

  • 2025 · UAB 24–38unpriced
  • 2024 · UAB 18–41unpriced
  • 2023 · UAB 6–31unpriced

Game recap

MetricNavyUAB
Success rate0.4860.386
Explosiveness1.0101.500
Havoc0.1400.243
PPA0.1890.180
Field position75.10066

Passing

  • Ryder Burton · UAB13/20 · 174 yds · 7.9 aDOT
  • Jackson Gutierrez · Navy4/13 · 104 yds · 20.2 aDOT

Win probability