Option Country
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UAB @ Louisiana

9/20/2026, 12:00:00 AM · ESPN+ · 83° · Wind 0 mph · Clear · 14–21 F

Our pick Louisiana -7.5Did not cover by 0.5

Line movement

Home spread. Open -10.0 → now -7.0 · total 55.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings-7.055.5
Bovada-7.055.5
Draft Kings-7.055.5

Louisiana ML · Model 85% · Book 72% · value Louisiana

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick Louisiana -7.5OC Spread Louisiana -12.0OC Total 56.55.2 pts vs market
UABPower ratingsLouisiana
SP+Louisiana by 10.8
-10.4
0.4
FPILouisiana by 11.4
-14.0
-2.6
Elo (pts)Louisiana by 4.9
-5.2
-0.2
CORELouisiana by 6.0
-3.1
2.9
WEPALouisiana by 6.9
-2.9
4.0
SRSLouisiana by 11.8
-11.9
-0.1

Head-to-head

Last 5: SU 3-2 · ATS 0-0 from Louisiana's side

Game recap

MetricUABLouisiana
Success rate0.3500.347
Explosiveness1.0501.060
Havoc0.1390.200
PPA-0.2590.052
Field position74.30068.900

Passing

  • Ryder Burton · UAB15/26 · 144 yds · 11.0 aDOT
  • D'Wayne' Winfield · Louisiana14/19 · 110 yds · 6.5 aDOT
  • Nate Rogers · UAB0/1 · 0 yds · 1.0 aDOT

Win probability