UL Monroe @ UAB
9/12/2026, 7:30:00 PM · ESPN+ · 92° · Wind 3 mph · Thunderstorm · 20–26 F
Our pick UAB -10.0Did not cover by 4.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open -7.5 → now -9.5 · total 53.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | -9.0 | 53.5 |
| DraftKings | -9.5 | 53.5 |
UAB ML · Model 85% · Book 76% · value UAB
Ratings matchup
Our pick UAB -10.0OC Spread UAB -12.0OC Total 55.52.5 pts vs market
UL MonroePower ratingsUAB
SP+UAB by 13.8
-24.2
-10.4
FPIUAB by 11.6
-25.6
-14.0
Elo (pts)UAB by 14.1
-19.2
-5.2
COREUAB by 17.7
-20.8
-3.1
WEPAUAB by 11.4
-14.3
-2.9
SRSUAB by 11.3
-23.2
-11.9
Head-to-head
Last 3: SU 1-2 · ATS 0-0 from UAB's side
Game recap
| Metric | UL Monroe | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.444 | 0.507 |
| Explosiveness | 0.780 | 1.010 |
| Havoc | 0.159 | 0.159 |
| PPA | -0.092 | 0.210 |
| Field position | 61.100 | 70.600 |
Passing
- Austin Carlisle · UL Monroe10/20 · 56 yds · 3.7 aDOT
- Ryder Burton · UAB8/16 · 115 yds · 10.0 aDOT