UNLV @ North Texas
9/12/2026, 7:45:00 PM · ESPNU · 102° · Wind 6 mph · Clear · 6–44 F
Our pick UNLV -4.0Did not cover by 42.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open +6.5 → now +3.0 · total 58.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +3.0 | 57.5 |
| Bovada | +2.5 | 58.0 |
| Draft Kings | +3.0 | 58.5 |
North Texas ML · Model 64% · Book 40% · value North Texas
UNLV travels 1042 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
UNLV
27
Our pick UNLV -4.0OC Spread North Texas -4.0OC Total 58.07.0 pts vs market
UNLVPower ratingsNorth Texas
SP+UNLV by 5.4
-2.7
-8.1
FPINorth Texas by 5.9
-5.1
0.8
Elo (pts)North Texas by 8.8
-0.8
8.0
CORENorth Texas by 6.7
-5.0
1.8
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 1-4 · ATS 0-0 from North Texas's side
- 2022 · North Texas 27–58unpriced
- 2013 · North Texas 36–14unpriced
- 2000 · North Texas 0–38unpriced
- 1999 · North Texas 3–26unpriced
- 1995 · North Texas 24–34unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | UNLV | North Texas |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.390 | 0.469 |
| Explosiveness | 0.610 | 1.430 |
| Havoc | 0.163 | 0.254 |
| PPA | -0.154 | 0.455 |
| Field position | 71.300 | 64.300 |
Passing
- Jackson Arnold · UNLV18/28 · 194 yds · 11.6 aDOT
- Tayven Jackson · North Texas14/25 · 217 yds · 9.8 aDOT
- Alex Orji · UNLV1/5 · 9 yds · 17.8 aDOT
- Chris Jimerson Jr. · North Texas1/2 · 16 yds · 5.0 aDOT