Navy @ Florida Atlantic
9/12/2026, 11:30:00 PM · ESPNU · 81° · Wind 3 mph · Heavy Rain · 30–38 F
Our pick Navy -5.0Did not cover by 13.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open +5.5 → now +4.5 · total 59.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +4.0 | 59.5 |
| Bovada | +4.5 | 59.5 |
| Draft Kings | +4.5 | 59.5 |
Florida Atlantic ML · Model 38% · Book 35%
Navy travels 896 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Navy -5.0OC Spread Florida Atlantic +3.5OC Total 60.00.8 pts vs market
NavyPower ratingsFlorida Atlantic
SP+Navy by 7.3
-0.7
-8.0
FPINavy by 5.5
-5.3
-10.8
Elo (pts)Navy by 11.5
0.5
-11.0
CORENavy by 5.1
-0.8
-5.9
Head-to-head
Last 3: SU 0-3 · ATS 0-0 from Florida Atlantic's side
- 2025 · Florida Atlantic 32–42unpriced
- 2017 · Florida Atlantic 19–42unpriced
- 2012 · Florida Atlantic 17–24unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Navy | Florida Atlantic |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.391 | 0.458 |
| Explosiveness | 1.960 | 1.270 |
| Havoc | 0.181 | 0.283 |
| PPA | 0.326 | 0.282 |
| Field position | 72.700 | 64.900 |
Passing
- Caden Veltkamp · Florida Atlantic28/33 · 391 yds · 9.3 aDOT
- Jackson Gutierrez · Navy6/12 · 100 yds · 8.8 aDOT
- Braxton Woodson · Navy3/11 · 47 yds · 11.2 aDOT
- Drew Devillier · Florida Atlantic0/1 · 0 yds · 7.0 aDOT