Memphis @ UNLV
8/30/2026, 2:00:00 AM · FOX · Indoors · 27–21 F
Our pick Memphis +4.5Covered by 10.5
Our total Over 55.5Did not cover by 7.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -4.0 → now -4.5 · total 55.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -4.0 | 55.5 |
| Draft Kings | -4.5 | 55.5 |
| Bovada | -5.0 | 55.5 |
UNLV ML · Model 60% · Book 62%
Memphis off a byeUNLV off a byeMemphis +4 days restMemphis travels 1414 mi
Ratings matchup
Our pick Memphis +4.5Our total Over 55.5OC Spread UNLV +0.5OC Total 58.54.8 pts vs market
Win probability
Memphis 41%UNLV 60%
MemphisPower ratingsUNLV
SP+Memphis by 3.1
0.4
-2.7
FPIMemphis by 4.9
-0.2
-5.1
Elo (pts)Memphis by 1.8
1.0
-0.8
COREMemphis by 8.0
3.0
-5.0
Game recap
| Metric | Memphis | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.475 | 0.351 |
| Explosiveness | 1.090 | 1.460 |
| Havoc | 0.195 | 0.119 |
| PPA | 0.288 | 0.108 |
| Field position | 77 | 74.700 |
Passing
- Jackson Arnold · UNLV25/38 · 291 yds · 8.4 aDOT
- Marcus Stokes · Memphis15/26 · 223 yds · 12.3 aDOT