UConn @ Southern Miss
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM · ESPN+ · 90° · Wind 2 mph · Clear · 48–20 F
Our pick Southern Miss +2.5Did not cover by 25.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open +2.5 → now +3.5 · total 54.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +3.5 | 54.5 |
| Bovada | +3.5 | 54.5 |
| Draft Kings | +3.5 | 54.5 |
Southern Miss ML · Model 26% · Book 40% · value UConn
UConn travels 1171 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Southern Miss +2.5OC Spread Southern Miss +7.0OC Total 55.53.7 pts vs market
UConnPower ratingsSouthern Miss
SP+UConn by 16.7
0.7
-16.0
FPIUConn by 7.7
-5.4
-13.0
Elo (pts)UConn by 10.4
-1.0
-11.4
COREUConn by 13.8
2.6
-11.1
WEPAUConn by 10.9
0.4
-10.5
SRSUConn by 10.4
-3.6
-14.0
Game recap
| Metric | UConn | Southern Miss |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.467 | 0.358 |
| Explosiveness | 1.250 | 1.020 |
| Havoc | 0.302 | 0.150 |
| PPA | 0.237 | -0.321 |
| Field position | 67.600 | 75.400 |
Passing
- Ethan Hampton · Southern Miss14/25 · 93 yds · 7.6 aDOT
- Landy Lyddy · Southern Miss14/25 · 194 yds · 7.7 aDOT
- Kalieb Osborne · UConn16/22 · 214 yds · 10.1 aDOT
- Tucker McDonald · UConn2/3 · 9 yds · 11.7 aDOT