Option Country
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Oregon State @ Fresno State

11/1/2026, 3:00:00 AM · USA Net · 62° · Wind 6 mph · Light Rain · 22–38 F

Our pick Fresno State +6.0Covered by 22.0

Line movement

Home spread. Open +7.0 → now +6.0 · total 58.0

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings+6.057.5
Bovada+6.058.5

Fresno State ML · Model 49% · Book 33% · value Fresno State

Oregon State off a byeFresno State off a byeOregon State travels 566 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick Fresno State +6.0OC Spread Fresno State +0.5OC Total 52.55.6 pts vs market
Oregon StatePower ratingsFresno State
SP+Oregon State by 4.0
6.6
2.6
FPIOregon State by 2.5
4.2
1.7
Elo (pts)Fresno State by 3.3
3.1
6.4
COREFresno State by 1.3
6.5
7.8
WEPAOregon State by 2.1
5.5
3.4
SRSOregon State by 5.2
8.1
2.9

Game recap

MetricOregon StateFresno State
Success rate0.4430.368
Explosiveness1.1001.680
Havoc0.1230.227
PPA0.0070.174
Field position69.60064

Passing

  • Braden Atkinson · Oregon State33/59 · 373 yds · 7.4 aDOT
  • Jayden Mandal · Fresno State11/17 · 183 yds · 7.8 aDOT

Win probability