Option Country
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Colorado State @ Texas State

10/16/2026, 12:00:00 AM · CBSSN · 78° · Wind 4 mph · Clear · 27–66 F

Our pick Colorado State +14.0Did not cover by 25.0

Line movement

Home spread. Open -14.0 → now -15.5 · total 70.0

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings-15.569.5
Bovada-15.070.0

Texas State ML · Model 87% · Book 82% · value Texas State

Colorado State travels 841 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick Colorado State +14.0OC Spread Texas State -13.0OC Total 65.02.0 pts vs market
Colorado StatePower ratingsTexas State
SP+Texas State by 9.9
-8.4
1.5
FPITexas State by 13.2
-12.4
0.8
Elo (pts)Texas State by 16.7
-13.9
2.8
CORETexas State by 21.9
-18.3
3.6
WEPATexas State by 9.7
-7.7
2.0
SRSTexas State by 15.0
-8.2
6.8

Game recap

MetricColorado StateTexas State
Success rate0.4440.655
Explosiveness1.7501.580
Havoc0.0550.222
PPA0.3540.716
Field position71.80064.500

Passing

  • Ksaan Farrar · Colorado State26/41 · 299 yds · 6.4 aDOT
  • Brad Jackson · Texas State14/19 · 213 yds · 9.5 aDOT

Win probability