Colorado State @ Texas State
10/16/2026, 12:00:00 AM · CBSSN · 78° · Wind 4 mph · Clear · 27–66 F
Our pick Colorado State +14.0Did not cover by 25.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open -14.0 → now -15.5 · total 70.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -15.5 | 69.5 |
| Bovada | -15.0 | 70.0 |
Texas State ML · Model 87% · Book 82% · value Texas State
Colorado State travels 841 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Colorado State +14.0OC Spread Texas State -13.0OC Total 65.02.0 pts vs market
Colorado StatePower ratingsTexas State
SP+Texas State by 9.9
-8.4
1.5
FPITexas State by 13.2
-12.4
0.8
Elo (pts)Texas State by 16.7
-13.9
2.8
CORETexas State by 21.9
-18.3
3.6
WEPATexas State by 9.7
-7.7
2.0
SRSTexas State by 15.0
-8.2
6.8
Game recap
| Metric | Colorado State | Texas State |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.444 | 0.655 |
| Explosiveness | 1.750 | 1.580 |
| Havoc | 0.055 | 0.222 |
| PPA | 0.354 | 0.716 |
| Field position | 71.800 | 64.500 |
Passing
- Ksaan Farrar · Colorado State26/41 · 299 yds · 6.4 aDOT
- Brad Jackson · Texas State14/19 · 213 yds · 9.5 aDOT
