Fresno State @ Washington State
10/4/2026, 1:30:00 AM · USA Net · 55° · Wind 0 mph · Clear · 26–6 F
Our pick Fresno State +1.5Covered by 21.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -1.5 → now -2.5 · total 45.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -2.5 | 44.5 |
| Bovada | -2.0 | 45.5 |
Washington State ML · Model 26% · Book 36% · value Fresno State
Fresno State travels 698 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Fresno State +1.5OC Spread Washington State +7.0OC Total 47.09.5 pts vs market
Fresno StatePower ratingsWashington State
SP+Fresno State by 16.7
2.6
-14.1
FPIFresno State by 10.7
1.7
-9.1
Elo (pts)Fresno State by 10.3
6.4
-3.9
COREFresno State by 24.8
7.8
-16.9
WEPAFresno State by 12.4
3.4
-9.1
SRSFresno State by 10.9
2.9
-8.0
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 3-2 · ATS 0-0 from Washington State's side
- 2024 · Washington State 25–17unpriced
- 2022 · Washington State 6–29unpriced
- 1994 · Washington State 24–3unpriced
- 1992 · Washington State 39–37unpriced
- 1991 · Washington State 30–34unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Fresno State | Washington State |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.412 | 0.230 |
| Explosiveness | 1 | 1.020 |
| Havoc | 0.180 | 0.147 |
| PPA | 0.079 | -0.433 |
| Field position | 57.800 | 78.900 |
Passing
- Caden Pinnick · Washington State21/34 · 152 yds · 7.0 aDOT
- Jayden Mandal · Fresno State24/33 · 245 yds · 11.1 aDOT