Texas State @ No. 20 Boise State
11/1/2026, 2:00:00 AM · CW · 51° · Wind 5 mph · Overcast · 45–46 F
Line movement
Home spread. Open -12.5 → now -10.5 · total 63.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -10.0 | 63.5 |
| Bovada | -11.0 | 63.5 |
Boise State ML · Model 86% · Book 78% · value Boise State
Texas State travels 1380 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
OC Spread Boise State -12.5OC Total 61.52.1 pts vs market
Texas StatePower ratingsBoise State
SP+Boise State by 9.4
1.5
10.9
FPIBoise State by 10.3
0.8
11.1
Elo (pts)Boise State by 5.8
2.8
8.6
COREBoise State by 13.8
3.6
17.4
WEPABoise State by 10.9
2.0
12.9
SRSBoise State by 5.5
6.8
12.3
Game recap
| Metric | Texas State | Boise State |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.385 | 0.460 |
| Explosiveness | 1.670 | 1.350 |
| Havoc | 0.115 | 0.154 |
| PPA | 0.208 | 0.229 |
| Field position | 66 | 69.400 |
Passing
- Brad Jackson · Texas State23/38 · 327 yds · 8.7 aDOT
- Maddux Madsen · Boise State24/33 · 236 yds · 6.3 aDOT
- Max Cutforth · Boise State8/13 · 131 yds · 13.4 aDOT
- Tucker Cusano · Texas State0/1 · 0 yds · 4.0 aDOT