Utah State @ Texas State
10/24/2026, 11:30:00 PM · CBSSN · 79° · Wind 5 mph · Cloudy · 17–20 F
Our pick Utah State +14.5Covered by 11.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -9.5 → now -14.5 · total 59.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -14.5 | 58.5 |
| Bovada | -14.0 | 59.0 |
Texas State ML · Model 83% · Book 81%
Utah State off a byeUtah State +6 days restUtah State travels 1127 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Utah State +14.5OC Spread Texas State -11.0OC Total 54.03.3 pts vs market
Utah StatePower ratingsTexas State
SP+Texas State by 10.7
-9.2
1.5
FPITexas State by 5.9
-5.1
0.8
Elo (pts)Texas State by 7.4
-4.7
2.8
CORETexas State by 1.1
2.5
3.6
WEPATexas State by 1.9
0.1
2.0
SRSTexas State by 11.6
-4.8
6.8
Game recap
| Metric | Utah State | Texas State |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.400 | 0.443 |
| Explosiveness | 1.060 | 0.820 |
| Havoc | 0.143 | 0.143 |
| PPA | 0.092 | -0.069 |
| Field position | 70.800 | 76.400 |
Passing
- Brad Jackson · Texas State27/38 · 167 yds · 6.7 aDOT
- Grady Brosterhous · Utah State21/36 · 206 yds · 8.9 aDOT
- Anthony Garcia · Utah State1/1 · 6 yds · 6.0 aDOT