San Diego State @ Oregon State
10/10/2026, 10:00:00 PM · USA Net · 54° · Wind 7 mph · Cloudy · 14–66 F
Our pick San Diego State +14.0Did not cover by 38.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open -14.0 → now -14.5 · total 52.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | -14.5 | 52.0 |
| DraftKings | -14.5 | 52.5 |
Oregon State ML · Model 94% · Book 83% · value Oregon State
San Diego State travels 878 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick San Diego State +14.0OC Spread Oregon State -19.5OC Total 52.55.2 pts vs market
San Diego StatePower ratingsOregon State
SP+Oregon State by 15.2
-8.6
6.6
FPIOregon State by 13.4
-9.3
4.2
Elo (pts)Oregon State by 12.7
-9.6
3.1
COREOregon State by 14.5
-8.0
6.5
WEPAOregon State by 12.1
-6.6
5.5
SRSOregon State by 15.4
-7.3
8.1
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 5-0 · ATS 0-0 from Oregon State's side
- 2024 · Oregon State 21–0unpriced
- 2023 · Oregon State 26–9unpriced
- 2014 · Oregon State 28–7unpriced
- 2013 · Oregon State 34–30unpriced
- 2000 · Oregon State 35–3unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | San Diego State | Oregon State |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.286 | 0.615 |
| Explosiveness | 1.110 | 1.040 |
| Havoc | 0.173 | 0.321 |
| PPA | -0.273 | 0.377 |
| Field position | 73.100 | 62.700 |
Passing
- Braden Atkinson · Oregon State29/38 · 409 yds · 8.5 aDOT
- Jayden Denegal · San Diego State5/19 · 78 yds · 11.5 aDOT
- Maalik Murphy · Oregon State8/8 · 53 yds · 3.0 aDOT
- Brady Jones · Oregon State0/1 · 0 yds · 24.0 aDOT