Utah State @ No. 22 Boise State
10/3/2026, 11:30:00 PM · CBSSN · 85° · Wind 3 mph · Clear · 18–37 F
Line movement
Home spread. Open -20.5 → now -19.5 · total 51.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | -19.5 | 51.5 |
| DraftKings | -19.5 | 50.5 |
Boise State ML · Model 95% · Book 89% · value Boise State
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
OC Spread Boise State -20.5OC Total 51.01.0 pts vs market
Utah StatePower ratingsBoise State
SP+Boise State by 20.1
-9.2
10.9
FPIBoise State by 16.1
-5.1
11.1
Elo (pts)Boise State by 13.2
-4.7
8.6
COREBoise State by 14.9
2.5
17.4
WEPABoise State by 12.9
0.1
12.9
SRSBoise State by 17.1
-4.8
12.3
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 5-0 · ATS 0-0 from Boise State's side
- 2025 · Boise State 25–24unpriced
- 2024 · Boise State 62–30unpriced
- 2023 · Boise State 45–10unpriced
- 2022 · Boise State 42–23unpriced
- 2021 · Boise State 27–3unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Utah State | Boise State |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.317 | 0.459 |
| Explosiveness | 1.790 | 1.390 |
| Havoc | 0.098 | 0.233 |
| PPA | -0.034 | 0.332 |
| Field position | 72.600 | 75.900 |
Passing
- Maddux Madsen · Boise State17/21 · 244 yds · 7.0 aDOT
- Grady Brosterhous · Utah State12/18 · 129 yds · 7.7 aDOT
- McCae Hillstead · Utah State2/7 · 47 yds · 17.4 aDOT