Colorado State @ UTSA
9/26/2026, 4:00:00 PM · ESPNU · Indoors · 45–59 F
Our pick Colorado State +12.5Did not cover by 1.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -11.5 → now -14.5 · total 56.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -14.5 | 56.5 |
| Bovada | -14.0 | 56.5 |
UTSA ML · Model 78% · Book 82%
Colorado State travels 856 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Colorado State +12.5OC Spread UTSA -9.0OC Total 60.55.2 pts vs market
Colorado StatePower ratingsUTSA
SP+UTSA by 11.9
-8.4
3.5
FPIUTSA by 12.8
-12.4
0.4
Elo (pts)UTSA by 17.4
-13.9
3.5
COREUTSA by 17.9
-18.3
-0.4
WEPAUTSA by 9.8
-7.7
2.1
SRSUTSA by 10.6
-8.2
2.4
Head-to-head
Last 3: SU 1-2 · ATS 0-0 from UTSA's side
Game recap
| Metric | Colorado State | UTSA |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.405 | 0.479 |
| Explosiveness | 1.710 | 1.350 |
| Havoc | 0.110 | 0.114 |
| PPA | 0.299 | 0.409 |
| Field position | 73.100 | 64.400 |
Passing
- Ksaan Farrar · Colorado State29/46 · 344 yds · 6.9 aDOT
- Owen McCown · UTSA20/30 · 303 yds · 7.0 aDOT