Oregon State @ UTEP
9/27/2026, 1:00:00 AM · MW+ · 81° · Wind 3 mph · Fair · 33–7 F
Our pick Oregon State -11.5Covered by 14.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open +12.5 → now +11.5 · total 56.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +11.5 | 56.5 |
| Bovada | +11.5 | 56.5 |
UTEP ML · Model 6% · Book 21% · value Oregon State
Oregon State travels 1264 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
UTEP
16
Our pick Oregon State -11.5OC Spread UTEP +19.5OC Total 52.08.1 pts vs market
Oregon StatePower ratingsUTEP
SP+Oregon State by 31.1
6.6
-24.5
FPIOregon State by 28.8
4.2
-24.6
Elo (pts)Oregon State by 23.3
3.1
-20.2
COREOregon State by 32.9
6.5
-26.4
WEPAOregon State by 23.7
5.5
-18.2
SRSOregon State by 29.7
8.1
-21.6
Game recap
| Metric | Oregon State | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.558 | 0.293 |
| Explosiveness | 1.300 | 0.890 |
| Havoc | 0.293 | 0.115 |
| PPA | 0.371 | -0.217 |
| Field position | 76.600 | 72.800 |
Passing
- Braden Atkinson · Oregon State24/34 · 301 yds · 8.8 aDOT
- EJ Colson · UTEP16/23 · 129 yds · 6.3 aDOT
- Raymond Moore III · UTEP2/2 · 11 yds · 4.5 aDOT