James Madison @ San Diego State
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 AM · CW · 69° · Wind 3 mph · Fair · 26–13 F
Our pick James Madison +3.0Covered by 16.0
1st & 10 at SDSU 37
Line movement
Home spread. Open -1.5 → now -3.0 · total 46.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -2.5 | 46.5 |
| Bovada | -3.0 | 46.5 |
| Draft Kings | -3.0 | 46.5 |
San Diego State ML · Model 34% · Book 55% · value James Madison
James Madison travels 2168 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick James Madison +3.0OC Spread San Diego State +4.5OC Total 49.57.5 pts vs market
James MadisonPower ratingsSan Diego State
SP+James Madison by 19.5
10.9
-8.6
FPIJames Madison by 13.0
3.7
-9.3
Elo (pts)James Madison by 20.6
11.1
-9.6
COREJames Madison by 15.8
7.8
-8.0
WEPAJames Madison by 12.3
5.7
-6.6
SRSJames Madison by 11.8
4.5
-7.3
Game recap
| Metric | James Madison | San Diego State |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.453 | 0.321 |
| Explosiveness | 1.090 | 1.390 |
| Havoc | 0.179 | 0.107 |
| PPA | 0.173 | -0.079 |
| Field position | 66.900 | 77.800 |
Passing
- Jayden Denegal · San Diego State18/33 · 209 yds · 7.7 aDOT
- Camden Coleman · James Madison19/27 · 246 yds · 7.4 aDOT
