Option Country
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James Madison @ San Diego State

9/20/2026, 2:00:00 AM · CW · 69° · Wind 3 mph · Fair · 26–13 F

Our pick James Madison +3.0Covered by 16.0

1st & 10 at SDSU 37

Line movement

Home spread. Open -1.5 → now -3.0 · total 46.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings-2.546.5
Bovada-3.046.5
Draft Kings-3.046.5

San Diego State ML · Model 34% · Book 55% · value James Madison

James Madison travels 2168 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick James Madison +3.0OC Spread San Diego State +4.5OC Total 49.57.5 pts vs market
James MadisonPower ratingsSan Diego State
SP+James Madison by 19.5
10.9
-8.6
FPIJames Madison by 13.0
3.7
-9.3
Elo (pts)James Madison by 20.6
11.1
-9.6
COREJames Madison by 15.8
7.8
-8.0
WEPAJames Madison by 12.3
5.7
-6.6
SRSJames Madison by 11.8
4.5
-7.3

Game recap

MetricJames MadisonSan Diego State
Success rate0.4530.321
Explosiveness1.0901.390
Havoc0.1790.107
PPA0.173-0.079
Field position66.90077.800

Passing

  • Jayden Denegal · San Diego State18/33 · 209 yds · 7.7 aDOT
  • Camden Coleman · James Madison19/27 · 246 yds · 7.4 aDOT

Win probability