Option Country
← Week 2 board

Memphis @ Boise State

9/12/2026, 10:00:00 PM · USA Net · 90° · Wind 4 mph · Clear · 20–38 F

Line movement

Home spread. Open -6.5 → now -9.5 · total 54.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
Bovada-9.054.5
DraftKings-9.554.5

Boise State ML · Model 81% · Book 74% · value Boise State

Memphis travels 1510 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

OC Spread Boise State -10.5OC Total 57.01.0 pts vs market
MemphisPower ratingsBoise State
SP+Boise State by 3.9
7.0
10.9
FPIBoise State by 7.3
3.7
11.1
Elo (pts)Boise State by 1.1
7.4
8.6
COREBoise State by 7.6
9.7
17.4
WEPABoise State by 6.6
6.4
12.9
SRSBoise State by 10.8
1.5
12.3

Head-to-head

Last 1: SU 0-1 · ATS 0-0 from Boise State's side

Game recap

MetricMemphisBoise State
Success rate0.3210.500
Explosiveness2.2101.440
Havoc0.0920.245
PPA0.0680.458
Field position80.60079.800

Passing

  • Maddux Madsen · Boise State17/28 · 221 yds · 6.5 aDOT
  • Marcus Stokes · Memphis17/26 · 384 yds · 15.2 aDOT

Win probability