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Rice @ No. 3 Notre Dame

9/12/2026, 7:30:00 PM · NBC · 84° · Wind 4 mph · Fair · 0–52 F

Our pick Rice +44.5Did not cover by 7.5

Line movement

Home spread. Open -44.5 → now -45.0 · total 54.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
Bovada-45.054.5
DraftKings-44.554.5

Notre Dame ML · Model 100%

Rice travels 974 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick Rice +44.5OC Spread Notre Dame -46.0OC Total 52.01.2 pts vs market
RicePower ratingsNotre Dame
SP+Notre Dame by 39.4
-14.2
25.2
FPINotre Dame by 41.2
-14.4
26.8
Elo (pts)Notre Dame by 37.8
-14.8
22.9
CORENotre Dame by 44.9
-12.1
32.8
WEPANotre Dame by 24.5
-7.4
17.2
SRSNotre Dame by 32.5
-11.4
21.1

Head-to-head

Last 5: SU 5-0 · ATS 0-0 from Notre Dame's side

Game recap

MetricRiceNotre Dame
Success rate0.0800.700
Explosiveness1.7101.200
Havoc0.2000.520
PPA-0.4780.705
Field position76.90057.800

Passing

  • C.J. Carr · Notre Dame16/20 · 253 yds · 11.3 aDOT
  • Jacurri Brown · Rice8/12 · 64 yds · 9.1 aDOT
  • Noah Grubbs · Notre Dame7/11 · 78 yds · 9.4 aDOT
  • Teddy Jarrard · Notre Dame2/2 · 29 yds · 4.5 aDOT

Win probability