Option Country
← Week 9 board

No. 2 Ohio State @ No. 16 USC

10/31/2026, 11:30:00 PM · NBC · 68° · Wind 5 mph · Light Rain · 18–30 F

Our pick Ohio State -7.0Did not cover by 19.0

Line movement

Home spread. Open +7.5 → now +6.5 · total 51.0

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings+6.550.5
Bovada+6.051.0

USC ML · Model 20% · Book 31% · value Ohio State

Ohio State off a byeOhio State +7 days restOhio State travels 1976 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick Ohio State -7.0OC Spread USC +10.0OC Total 54.53.6 pts vs market
Ohio StatePower ratingsUSC
SP+Ohio State by 14.4
28.6
14.2
FPIOhio State by 11.2
26.2
15.0
Elo (pts)Ohio State by 8.7
20.8
12.1
COREOhio State by 13.4
23.3
9.9
WEPAOhio State by 7.8
15.2
7.4
SRSOhio State by 8.2
18.7
10.5

Game recap

MetricOhio StateUSC
Success rate0.4390.400
Explosiveness1.1101.640
Havoc0.2200.110
PPA0.1370.186
Field position76.80064.900

Passing

  • Luke Fahey · Ohio State21/38 · 261 yds · 11.2 aDOT
  • Jayden Maiava · USC15/23 · 222 yds · 4.4 aDOT

Win probability