No. 2 Ohio State @ No. 16 USC
10/31/2026, 11:30:00 PM · NBC · 68° · Wind 5 mph · Light Rain · 18–30 F
Our pick Ohio State -7.0Did not cover by 19.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open +7.5 → now +6.5 · total 51.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +6.5 | 50.5 |
| Bovada | +6.0 | 51.0 |
USC ML · Model 20% · Book 31% · value Ohio State
Ohio State off a byeOhio State +7 days restOhio State travels 1976 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
USC
22
Our pick Ohio State -7.0OC Spread USC +10.0OC Total 54.53.6 pts vs market
Ohio StatePower ratingsUSC
SP+Ohio State by 14.4
28.6
14.2
FPIOhio State by 11.2
26.2
15.0
Elo (pts)Ohio State by 8.7
20.8
12.1
COREOhio State by 13.4
23.3
9.9
WEPAOhio State by 7.8
15.2
7.4
SRSOhio State by 8.2
18.7
10.5
Game recap
| Metric | Ohio State | USC |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.439 | 0.400 |
| Explosiveness | 1.110 | 1.640 |
| Havoc | 0.220 | 0.110 |
| PPA | 0.137 | 0.186 |
| Field position | 76.800 | 64.900 |
Passing
- Luke Fahey · Ohio State21/38 · 261 yds · 11.2 aDOT
- Jayden Maiava · USC15/23 · 222 yds · 4.4 aDOT
