Option Country
← Week 9 board

Minnesota @ No. 4 Indiana

10/31/2026, 7:30:00 PM · CBS · 64° · Wind 4 mph · Cloudy · 16–23 F

Our pick Indiana -22.5Did not cover by 15.5

Line movement

Home spread. Open -22.5 → now -20.5 · total 41.0

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings-20.540.5
Bovada-20.541.0

Indiana ML · Model 96% · Book 89% · value Indiana

Minnesota travels 527 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick Indiana -22.5OC Spread Indiana -22.5OC Total 44.51.8 pts vs market
MinnesotaPower ratingsIndiana
SP+Indiana by 20.3
3.9
24.2
FPIIndiana by 19.2
2.7
21.9
Elo (pts)Indiana by 23.9
-1.8
22.2
COREIndiana by 28.1
-3.3
24.9
WEPAIndiana by 17.5
-2.7
14.9
SRSIndiana by 12.9
3.4
16.3

Game recap

MetricMinnesotaIndiana
Success rate0.2000.357
Explosiveness1.6601.420
Havoc0.1430.267
PPA-0.0690.149
Field position6873.900

Passing

  • Drake Lindsey · Minnesota20/37 · 120 yds · 4.2 aDOT
  • Josh Hoover · Indiana8/19 · 119 yds · 9.5 aDOT
  • Grant Wilson · Indiana9/17 · 156 yds · 12.3 aDOT

Win probability