Option Country
← Week 7 board

Wisconsin @ No. 12 UCLA

10/17/2026, 11:30:00 PM · NBC · 86° · Wind 4 mph · Cloudy · 7–17 F

Our pick UCLA -2.0Covered by 8.0

Line movement

Home spread. Open -3.0 → now -2.0 · total 43.0

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings-1.542.5
Bovada-2.543.0

UCLA ML · Model 69% · Book 57% · value UCLA

Wisconsin off a byeWisconsin +7 days restWisconsin travels 1660 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick UCLA -2.0OC Spread UCLA -5.5OC Total 48.03.7 pts vs market
WisconsinPower ratingsUCLA
SP+UCLA by 5.7
8.7
14.4
FPIUCLA by 3.7
8.5
12.2
Elo (pts)UCLA by 4.2
5.8
10.0
COREUCLA by 9.1
14.4
23.5
WEPAUCLA by 6.5
9.3
15.7
SRSUCLA by 8.0
8.1
16.1

Head-to-head

Last 5: SU 2-3 · ATS 0-0 from UCLA's side

  • 2000 · UCLA 20–21unpriced
  • 1998 · UCLA 31–38unpriced
  • 1993 · UCLA 16–21unpriced
  • 1982 · UCLA 51–26unpriced
  • 1981 · UCLA 31–13unpriced

Game recap

MetricWisconsinUCLA
Success rate0.3880.403
Explosiveness0.8901.150
Havoc0.1670.163
PPA-0.0440.133
Field position69.60077.300

Passing

  • Ty Dieffenbach · UCLA22/33 · 264 yds · 9.1 aDOT
  • Colton Joseph · Wisconsin6/16 · 75 yds · 9.4 aDOT
  • Semaj Morgan · UCLA0/1 · 0 yds · 22.0 aDOT

Win probability