Option Country
← Week 7 board

No. 19 Washington @ Purdue

10/17/2026, 12:00:00 AM · FOX · 50° · Wind 7 mph · Rain · 38–26 F

Our pick Washington +3.0Covered by 15.0

Line movement

Home spread. Open -3.5 → now -3.0 · total 50.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings-3.050.5
Bovada-3.050.5

Purdue ML · Model 46% · Book 58% · value Washington

Washington travels 1809 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick Washington +3.0OC Spread Purdue +1.0OC Total 55.54.2 pts vs market
WashingtonPower ratingsPurdue
SP+Washington by 9.3
9.5
0.2
FPIWashington by 4.9
7.2
2.3
Elo (pts)Washington by 11.9
8.9
-3.0
COREWashington by 15.0
6.1
-8.9
WEPAWashington by 5.7
3.5
-2.2
SRSWashington by 1.3
5.3
4.0

Head-to-head

Last 5: SU 1-4 · ATS 0-0 from Purdue's side

Game recap

MetricWashingtonPurdue
Success rate0.5160.333
Explosiveness1.3801.530
Havoc0.2750.210
PPA0.254-0.138
Field position73.80063.100

Passing

  • Ryan Browne · Purdue21/41 · 273 yds · 9.7 aDOT
  • Elijah Brown · Washington21/27 · 302 yds · 6.5 aDOT

Win probability