No. 20 Iowa @ No. 19 Washington
10/10/2026, 1:00:00 AM · 54° · Wind 0 mph · Cloudy · 41–24 F
Our pick Iowa +1.5Covered by 18.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -1.5 → now -3.0 · total 41.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | -3.0 | 40.5 |
| DraftKings | -3.0 | 41.5 |
Washington ML · Model 31% · Book 56% · value Iowa
Iowa travels 1556 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Iowa
27
Our pick Iowa +1.5OC Spread Washington +5.5OC Total 47.58.5 pts vs market
IowaPower ratingsWashington
SP+Iowa by 2.9
12.4
9.5
FPIIowa by 6.7
13.9
7.2
Elo (pts)Iowa by 7.5
16.4
8.9
COREIowa by 3.4
9.5
6.1
WEPAWashington by 2.1
1.4
3.5
SRSIowa by 9.0
14.3
5.3
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 2-3 · ATS 0-0 from Washington's side
- 2024 · Washington 16–40unpriced
- 1995 · Washington 18–38unpriced
- 1990 · Washington 46–34unpriced
- 1981 · Washington 28–0unpriced
- 1964 · Washington 18–28unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Iowa | Washington |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.660 | 0.356 |
| Explosiveness | 1.170 | 1.190 |
| Havoc | 0.203 | 0.120 |
| PPA | 0.555 | 0.121 |
| Field position | 67.500 | 79.800 |
Passing
- Elijah Brown · Washington28/40 · 251 yds · 9.7 aDOT
- Jeremy Hecklinski · Iowa14/19 · 202 yds · 8.2 aDOT
- Demond Williams Jr. · Washington6/11 · 69 yds · 10.0 aDOT