Minnesota @ Purdue
10/11/2026, 12:00:00 AM · BTN · 63° · Wind 4 mph · Cloudy · 13–41 F
Our pick Purdue +3.0Covered by 31.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open +2.0 → now +3.0 · total 49.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | +3.0 | 49.0 |
| DraftKings | +2.5 | 48.5 |
Purdue ML · Model 64% · Book 45% · value Purdue
Minnesota travels 448 mi
Ratings matchup
Our pick Purdue +3.0OC Spread Purdue -4.0OC Total 54.06.8 pts vs market
MinnesotaPower ratingsPurdue
SP+Minnesota by 3.7
3.9
0.2
FPIMinnesota by 0.4
2.7
2.3
Elo (pts)Minnesota by 1.2
-1.8
-3.0
COREMinnesota by 5.6
-3.3
-8.9
WEPAPurdue by 0.4
-2.7
-2.2
SRSPurdue by 0.6
3.4
4.0
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 2-3 · ATS 0-0 from Purdue's side
Game recap
| Metric | Minnesota | Purdue |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.289 | 0.500 |
| Explosiveness | 1.720 | 1.240 |
| Havoc | 0.103 | 0.178 |
| PPA | 0.004 | 0.289 |
| Field position | 72.500 | 67.700 |
Passing
- Drake Lindsey · Minnesota22/39 · 248 yds · 8.4 aDOT
- Ryan Browne · Purdue14/24 · 159 yds · 9.1 aDOT