No. 18 Michigan @ Minnesota
10/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM · FOX · 65° · Wind 12 mph · Rain Shower · 14–20 F
Line movement
Home spread. Open +8.5 → now +6.5 · total 42.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +6.5 | 41.5 |
| Bovada | +6.0 | 43.0 |
Minnesota ML · Model 33% · Book 33%
Michigan travels 509 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Spread Minnesota +5.0OC Total 46.01.2 pts vs market
MichiganPower ratingsMinnesota
SP+Michigan by 7.6
11.5
3.9
FPIMichigan by 8.0
10.7
2.7
Elo (pts)Michigan by 10.6
8.8
-1.8
COREMichigan by 15.3
12.1
-3.3
WEPAMichigan by 8.5
5.8
-2.7
SRSMichigan by 1.6
5.0
3.4
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 0-5 · ATS 0-0 from Minnesota's side
Game recap
| Metric | Michigan | Minnesota |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.373 | 0.379 |
| Explosiveness | 0.990 | 0.970 |
| Havoc | 0.136 | 0.294 |
| PPA | -0.256 | -0.207 |
| Field position | 69.900 | 65.300 |
Passing
- Drake Lindsey · Minnesota17/25 · 136 yds · 4.7 aDOT
- Bryce Underwood · Michigan10/21 · 101 yds · 9.4 aDOT