No. 5 Ohio State @ No. 14 Iowa
10/3/2026, 7:30:00 PM · CBS · 72° · Wind 8 mph · Clear · 31–14 F
Line movement
Home spread. Open +14.0 → now +14.5 · total 46.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +14.5 | 46.5 |
| Bovada | +14.0 | 45.5 |
Iowa ML · Model 13% · Book 17% · value Ohio State
Ohio State travels 460 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Iowa
18
OC Spread Iowa +13.0OC Total 49.01.1 pts vs market
Ohio StatePower ratingsIowa
SP+Ohio State by 16.2
28.6
12.4
FPIOhio State by 12.4
26.2
13.9
Elo (pts)Ohio State by 4.4
20.8
16.4
COREOhio State by 13.8
23.3
9.5
WEPAOhio State by 13.7
15.2
1.4
SRSOhio State by 4.4
18.7
14.3
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 1-4 · ATS 0-0 from Iowa's side
Game recap
| Metric | Ohio State | Iowa |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.493 | 0.340 |
| Explosiveness | 1.250 | 1.200 |
| Havoc | 0.191 | 0.147 |
| PPA | 0.239 | -0.199 |
| Field position | 67.700 | 73.900 |
Passing
- Julian Sayin · Ohio State20/27 · 324 yds · 11.8 aDOT
- Hank Brown · Iowa12/27 · 132 yds · 7.0 aDOT
- Jeremy Hecklinski · Iowa5/5 · 67 yds · 8.8 aDOT