Purdue @ Illinois
10/3/2026, 8:15:00 PM · BTN · 72° · Wind 4 mph · Clear · 24–17 F
Our pick Illinois -10.0Did not cover by 17.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open -10.0 → now -10.0 · total 62.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | -10.0 | 62.5 |
| DraftKings | -9.5 | 62.5 |
Illinois ML · Model 84% · Book 76% · value Illinois
Ratings matchup
Our pick Illinois -10.0OC Spread Illinois -11.5OC Total 62.01.8 pts vs market
PurduePower ratingsIllinois
SP+Illinois by 6.6
0.2
6.8
FPIIllinois by 3.6
2.3
5.9
Elo (pts)Illinois by 5.7
-3.0
2.7
COREIllinois by 5.1
-8.9
-3.8
WEPAPurdue by 2.0
-2.2
-4.2
SRSIllinois by 0.6
4.0
4.6
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 2-3 · ATS 0-0 from Illinois's side
Game recap
| Metric | Purdue | Illinois |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.452 | 0.424 |
| Explosiveness | 1.270 | 1.410 |
| Havoc | 0.121 | 0.113 |
| PPA | 0.300 | 0.086 |
| Field position | 73.600 | 71.200 |
Passing
- Katin Houser · Illinois21/38 · 225 yds · 12.9 aDOT
- Ryan Browne · Purdue18/27 · 255 yds · 10.3 aDOT