Minnesota @ No. 19 Washington
9/27/2026, 3:00:00 AM · FOX · 56° · Wind 0 mph · Cloudy · 27–24 F
Our pick Minnesota +11.5Covered by 14.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -9.5 → now -12.5 · total 45.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -12.5 | 44.5 |
| Bovada | -12.0 | 45.0 |
Washington ML · Model 71% · Book 77% · value Minnesota
Minnesota travels 1392 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Minnesota +11.5OC Spread Washington -6.5OC Total 48.05.8 pts vs market
MinnesotaPower ratingsWashington
SP+Washington by 5.6
3.9
9.5
FPIWashington by 4.5
2.7
7.2
Elo (pts)Washington by 10.6
-1.8
8.9
COREWashington by 9.4
-3.3
6.1
WEPAWashington by 6.2
-2.7
3.5
SRSWashington by 1.9
3.4
5.3
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 3-2 · ATS 0-0 from Washington's side
- 1977 · Washington 17–19unpriced
- 1976 · Washington 38–7unpriced
- 1960 · Washington 17–7unpriced
- 1958 · Washington 24–21unpriced
- 1957 · Washington 7–46unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Minnesota | Washington |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.391 | 0.382 |
| Explosiveness | 1.180 | 1.530 |
| Havoc | 0.291 | 0.125 |
| PPA | 0.049 | 0.071 |
| Field position | 61.200 | 77 |
Passing
- Drake Lindsey · Minnesota21/29 · 204 yds · 5.6 aDOT
- Demond Williams Jr. · Washington18/28 · 239 yds · 11.5 aDOT