Option Country
← Week 4 board

No. 20 Oregon @ No. 12 USC

9/26/2026, 11:30:00 PM · NBC · 86° · Wind 7 mph · Cloudy · 41–27 F

Line movement

Home spread. Open +5.5 → now +3.5 · total 60.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings+3.560.5
Bovada+3.560.5

USC ML · Model 39% · Book 40%

Oregon travels 740 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

OC Spread USC +3.0OC Total 62.00.4 pts vs market
OregonPower ratingsUSC
SP+Oregon by 2.8
17.0
14.2
FPIOregon by 2.4
17.4
15.0
Elo (pts)USC by 0.2
11.9
12.1
COREUSC by 1.8
8.2
9.9
WEPAUSC by 2.4
5.0
7.4
SRSOregon by 3.6
14.1
10.5

Head-to-head

Last 5: SU 1-4 · ATS 0-0 from USC's side

  • 2025 · USC 27–42unpriced
  • 2023 · USC 27–36unpriced
  • 2020 · USC 24–31unpriced
  • 2019 · USC 24–56unpriced
  • 2016 · USC 45–20unpriced

Game recap

MetricOregonUSC
Success rate0.4560.434
Explosiveness1.5201.500
Havoc0.1710.088
PPA0.4650.269
Field position74.90071.800

Passing

  • Jayden Maiava · USC23/42 · 326 yds · 10.0 aDOT
  • Dylan Raiola · Oregon19/25 · 289 yds · 8.0 aDOT
  • Dante Moore · Oregon8/10 · 77 yds · 9.4 aDOT

Win probability