Option Country
← Week 4 board

No. 3 Notre Dame @ Purdue

9/26/2026, 6:00:00 PM · Peacock · 71° · Wind 3 mph · Clear · 49–10 F

Line movement

Home spread. Open +27.5 → now +27.5 · total 57.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings+27.557.5
Bovada+27.557.0

Purdue ML · Model 1% · Book 6% · value Notre Dame

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

OC Spread Purdue +29.5OC Total 58.52.2 pts vs market
Notre DamePower ratingsPurdue
SP+Notre Dame by 25.0
25.2
0.2
FPINotre Dame by 24.5
26.8
2.3
Elo (pts)Notre Dame by 25.9
22.9
-3.0
CORENotre Dame by 41.6
32.8
-8.9
WEPANotre Dame by 19.4
17.2
-2.2
SRSNotre Dame by 17.1
21.1
4.0

Head-to-head

Last 5: SU 0-5 · ATS 0-0 from Purdue's side

Game recap

MetricNotre DamePurdue
Success rate0.6880.378
Explosiveness1.0300.760
Havoc0.3510.250
PPA0.558-0.107
Field position7672

Passing

  • Ryan Browne · Purdue18/28 · 111 yds · 5.0 aDOT
  • C.J. Carr · Notre Dame14/22 · 237 yds · 12.6 aDOT
  • Evans Chuba · Purdue7/9 · 67 yds · 6.5 aDOT
  • Noah Grubbs · Notre Dame2/4 · 30 yds · 17.0 aDOT

Win probability