Illinois @ No. 7 Ohio State
9/26/2026, 4:00:00 PM · FOX · 69° · Wind 5 mph · Clear · 19–42 F
Line movement
Home spread. Open -27.5 → now -25.5 · total 53.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -25.5 | 53.5 |
| Bovada | -25.5 | 53.5 |
Ohio State ML · Model 97% · Book 94%
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
OC Spread Ohio State -23.5OC Total 57.52.1 pts vs market
IllinoisPower ratingsOhio State
SP+Ohio State by 21.8
6.8
28.6
FPIOhio State by 20.3
5.9
26.2
Elo (pts)Ohio State by 18.0
2.7
20.8
COREOhio State by 27.1
-3.8
23.3
WEPAOhio State by 19.4
-4.2
15.2
SRSOhio State by 14.1
4.6
18.7
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 5-0 · ATS 0-0 from Ohio State's side
- 2025 · Ohio State 34–16unpriced
- 2017 · Ohio State 52–14unpriced
- 2015 · Ohio State 28–3unpriced
- 2014 · Ohio State 55–14unpriced
- 2013 · Ohio State 60–35unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Illinois | Ohio State |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.455 | 0.597 |
| Explosiveness | 1.560 | 1.280 |
| Havoc | 0.090 | 0.258 |
| PPA | 0.322 | 0.558 |
| Field position | 77.600 | 75.600 |
Passing
- Katin Houser · Illinois21/38 · 263 yds · 11.4 aDOT
- Julian Sayin · Ohio State27/36 · 367 yds · 9.7 aDOT