No. 17 Iowa @ No. 18 Michigan
9/26/2026, 7:30:00 PM · CBS · 71° · Wind 7 mph · Clear · 20–19 F
Line movement
Home spread. Open -4.5 → now -5.0 · total 40.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -4.5 | 39.5 |
| Bovada | -5.0 | 40.0 |
Michigan ML · Model 60% · Book 64% · value Iowa
Iowa travels 403 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Spread Michigan -3.0OC Total 43.52.0 pts vs market
IowaPower ratingsMichigan
SP+Iowa by 0.9
12.4
11.5
FPIIowa by 3.1
13.9
10.7
Elo (pts)Iowa by 7.6
16.4
8.8
COREMichigan by 2.5
9.5
12.1
WEPAMichigan by 4.4
1.4
5.8
SRSIowa by 9.3
14.3
5.0
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 4-1 · ATS 0-0 from Michigan's side
Game recap
| Metric | Iowa | Michigan |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.271 | 0.449 |
| Explosiveness | 1.550 | 1.050 |
| Havoc | 0.087 | 0.136 |
| PPA | -0.011 | 0.117 |
| Field position | 73.300 | 76.400 |
Passing
- Hank Brown · Iowa21/35 · 230 yds · 9.4 aDOT
- Bryce Underwood · Michigan17/28 · 276 yds · 12.6 aDOT