Option Country
← Week 4 board

UCLA @ Maryland

9/26/2026, 5:30:00 PM · BTN · 67° · Wind 6 mph · Heavy Rain · 54–3 F

Our pick Maryland +2.5Did not cover by 48.5

Line movement

Home spread. Open +1.5 → now +2.5 · total 56.0

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings+2.555.5
Bovada+2.556.0

Maryland ML · Model 23% · Book 45% · value UCLA

UCLA travels 2292 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick Maryland +2.5OC Spread Maryland +8.5OC Total 55.56.1 pts vs market
UCLAPower ratingsMaryland
SP+UCLA by 16.5
14.4
-2.1
FPIUCLA by 16.3
12.2
-4.1
Elo (pts)UCLA by 17.7
10.0
-7.8
COREUCLA by 32.8
23.5
-9.3
WEPAUCLA by 23.9
15.7
-8.2
SRSUCLA by 20.8
16.1
-4.7

Head-to-head

Last 3: SU 1-2 · ATS 0-0 from Maryland's side

Game recap

MetricUCLAMaryland
Success rate0.4250.255
Explosiveness1.0401.280
Havoc0.3620.300
PPA-0.048-0.529
Field position63.20078.200

Passing

  • Malik Washington · Maryland18/37 · 142 yds · 6.8 aDOT
  • Nico Iamaleava · UCLA15/24 · 209 yds · 9.8 aDOT
  • Cardell Williams · Maryland1/1 · 0 yds · -5.0 aDOT

Win probability