Option Country
← Week 3 board

Eastern Michigan @ Wisconsin

9/19/2026, 4:30:00 PM · Peacock · 66° · Wind 0 mph · Light Rain · 10–54 F

Our pick Wisconsin -23.5Covered by 20.5

Line movement

Home spread. Open -24.5 → now -23.5 · total 43.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings-23.543.5
Bovada-23.544.0
Draft Kings-23.543.5

Wisconsin ML · Model 98% · Book 92% · value Wisconsin

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick Wisconsin -23.5OC Spread Wisconsin -26.5OC Total 46.03.2 pts vs market
Eastern MichiganPower ratingsWisconsin
SP+Wisconsin by 23.3
-14.6
8.7
FPIWisconsin by 24.6
-16.1
8.5
Elo (pts)Wisconsin by 17.0
-11.2
5.8
COREWisconsin by 30.3
-15.9
14.4
WEPAWisconsin by 21.0
-11.8
9.3
SRSWisconsin by 22.2
-14.1
8.1

Head-to-head

Last 4: SU 4-0 · ATS 0-0 from Wisconsin's side

Game recap

MetricEastern MichiganWisconsin
Success rate0.2650.575
Explosiveness1.2601.420
Havoc0.1750.441
PPA-0.3220.457
Field position73.40069.700

Passing

  • Colton Joseph · Wisconsin23/33 · 362 yds · 9.7 aDOT
  • Noah Kim · Eastern Michigan16/28 · 140 yds · 6.5 aDOT
  • Jace Stuckey · Eastern Michigan2/2 · 14 yds · -3.0 aDOT

Win probability