Option Country
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Louisiana @ No. 14 USC

9/13/2026, 3:00:00 AM · BTN · 74° · Wind 6 mph · Clear · 30–49 F

Our pick Louisiana +31.0Covered by 12.0

Line movement

Home spread. Open -28.5 → now -31.0 · total 58.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
Bovada-31.058.5
DraftKings-30.558.5

USC ML · Model 98% · Book 95%

Louisiana travels 1554 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick Louisiana +31.0OC Spread USC -28.0OC Total 59.52.6 pts vs market
LouisianaPower ratingsUSC
SP+USC by 13.8
0.4
14.2
FPIUSC by 17.6
-2.6
15.0
Elo (pts)USC by 12.3
-0.2
12.1
COREUSC by 7.0
2.9
9.9
WEPAUSC by 3.4
4.0
7.4
SRSUSC by 10.6
-0.1
10.5

Game recap

MetricLouisianaUSC
Success rate0.3330.507
Explosiveness1.7501.300
Havoc0.0400.119
PPA0.1720.392
Field position72.90070.300

Passing

  • Jayden Maiava · USC19/30 · 261 yds · 7.7 aDOT
  • D'Wayne' Winfield · Louisiana16/22 · 212 yds · 5.6 aDOT
  • Jonas Williams · USC1/1 · 8 yds · 4.0 aDOT

Win probability