Louisiana @ No. 14 USC
9/13/2026, 3:00:00 AM · BTN · 74° · Wind 6 mph · Clear · 30–49 F
Our pick Louisiana +31.0Covered by 12.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open -28.5 → now -30.5 · total 58.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -30.5 | 58.5 |
| Bovada | -31.0 | 58.5 |
| Draft Kings | -30.5 | 58.5 |
USC ML · Model 98% · Book 95%
Louisiana travels 1554 mi
Ratings matchup
Our pick Louisiana +31.0OC Spread USC -28.0OC Total 59.52.6 pts vs market
LouisianaPower ratingsUSC
SP+USC by 26.1
-6.6
19.5
FPIUSC by 24.9
-6.5
18.5
Elo (pts)USC by 18.0
-4.5
13.5
COREUSC by 18.9
-4.7
14.2
Game recap
| Metric | Louisiana | USC |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.333 | 0.507 |
| Explosiveness | 1.750 | 1.300 |
| Havoc | 0.040 | 0.119 |
| PPA | 0.172 | 0.392 |
| Field position | 72.900 | 70.300 |
Passing
- Jayden Maiava · USC19/30 · 261 yds · 7.7 aDOT
- D'Wayne' Winfield · Louisiana16/22 · 212 yds · 5.6 aDOT
- Jonas Williams · USC1/1 · 8 yds · 4.0 aDOT