Bowling Green @ Nebraska
9/12/2026, 11:00:00 PM · FS1 · 70° · Wind 2 mph · Fair · 7–56 F
Our pick Nebraska -30.5Covered by 18.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -25.5 → now -30.5 · total 49.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | -30.5 | 49.0 |
| DraftKings | -30.5 | 48.5 |
Nebraska ML · Model 99% · Book 96%
Bowling Green travels 682 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Nebraska -30.5OC Spread Nebraska -35.5OC Total 48.04.8 pts vs market
Bowling GreenPower ratingsNebraska
SP+Nebraska by 33.6
-18.2
15.4
FPINebraska by 32.2
-17.6
14.7
Elo (pts)Nebraska by 21.0
-11.0
10.0
CORENebraska by 27.6
-13.8
13.8
WEPANebraska by 17.4
-8.5
8.9
SRSNebraska by 27.8
-15.0
12.8
Head-to-head
Last 1: SU 1-0 · ATS 0-0 from Nebraska's side
- 2026 · Nebraska 56–7unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Bowling Green | Nebraska |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.304 | 0.600 |
| Explosiveness | 0.790 | 1.500 |
| Havoc | 0.100 | 0.478 |
| PPA | -0.039 | 0.675 |
| Field position | 73.600 | 67.200 |
Passing
- Anthony Colandrea · Nebraska20/24 · 222 yds · 5.8 aDOT
- Jay Kastantin · Bowling Green10/16 · 84 yds · 2.1 aDOT
- TJ Lateef · Nebraska6/8 · 60 yds · 10.1 aDOT