Option Country
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Bowling Green @ Nebraska

9/12/2026, 11:00:00 PM · FS1 · 70° · Wind 2 mph · Fair · 756 F

Our pick Nebraska -30.5Covered by 18.5

Line movement

Home spread. Open -25.5 → now -30.5 · total 48.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings-30.548.5
Bovada-30.549.0
Draft Kings-30.548.5

Nebraska ML · Model 99% · Book 96%

Bowling Green travels 682 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick Nebraska -30.5OC Spread Nebraska -35.5OC Total 48.04.8 pts vs market
Bowling GreenPower ratingsNebraska
SP+Nebraska by 30.5
-17.5
13.0
FPINebraska by 34.0
-19.2
14.8
Elo (pts)Nebraska by 19.1
-10.9
8.2
CORENebraska by 17.2
-9.9
7.3

Head-to-head

Last 1: SU 1-0 · ATS 0-0 from Nebraska's side

Game recap

MetricBowling GreenNebraska
Success rate0.3040.600
Explosiveness0.7901.500
Havoc0.1000.478
PPA-0.0390.675
Field position73.60067.200

Passing

  • Anthony Colandrea · Nebraska20/24 · 222 yds · 5.8 aDOT
  • Jay Kastantin · Bowling Green10/16 · 84 yds · 2.1 aDOT
  • TJ Lateef · Nebraska6/8 · 60 yds · 10.1 aDOT

Win probability