Wisconsin vs No. 4 Notre Dame
9/6/2026, 11:30:00 PM · NBC · 69° · Wind 4 mph · Clear · 13–41 F
Our pick Notre Dame -21.0Covered by 7.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open -20.5 → now -21.0 · total 46.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | -20.5 | 46.5 |
| Draft Kings | -21.0 | 45.5 |
| DraftKings | -21.0 | 46.5 |
Notre Dame ML · Model 92% · Book 91%
Wisconsin off a byeNotre Dame off a bye
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Notre Dame -21.0OC Spread Notre Dame -26.5OC Total 47.05.7 pts vs market
Win probability
Wisconsin 8%Notre Dame 92%
WisconsinPower ratingsNotre Dame
SP+Notre Dame by 27.1
1.9
29.0
FPINotre Dame by 25.3
2.6
27.9
Elo (pts)Notre Dame by 24.6
-1.8
22.8
CORENotre Dame by 18.4
-1.3
17.1
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 3-2 · ATS 0-0 from Notre Dame's side
- 2021 · Notre Dame 41–13unpriced
- 1964 · Notre Dame 31–7unpriced
- 1963 · Notre Dame 9–14unpriced
- 1962 · Notre Dame 8–17unpriced
- 1944 · Notre Dame 28–13unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Wisconsin | Notre Dame |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.321 | 0.460 |
| Explosiveness | 1.280 | 1.110 |
| Havoc | 0.111 | 0.245 |
| PPA | 0.027 | 0.349 |
| Field position | 67.500 | 80.100 |
Passing
- C.J. Carr · Notre Dame19/29 · 239 yds · 6.0 aDOT
- Colton Joseph · Wisconsin19/29 · 217 yds · 5.3 aDOT