Ohio @ Nebraska
9/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM · FS1 · 91° · Wind 5 mph · Fair · 21–49 F
Our pick Nebraska -23.5Covered by 4.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -24.0 → now -23.5 · total 47.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -23.5 | 47.5 |
| Draft Kings | -23.5 | 47.5 |
| Bovada | -24.0 | 46.5 |
Nebraska ML · Model 95% · Book 92%
Ohio off a byeNebraska off a byeOhio +8 days restOhio travels 778 mi
Ratings matchup
Our pick Nebraska -23.5OC Spread Nebraska -28.5OC Total 47.55.0 pts vs market
Win probability
Ohio 5%Nebraska 95%
OhioPower ratingsNebraska
SP+Nebraska by 25.3
-12.3
13.0
FPINebraska by 24.5
-9.7
14.8
Elo (pts)Nebraska by 15.4
-7.2
8.2
CORENebraska by 15.0
-7.7
7.3
Game recap
| Metric | Ohio | Nebraska |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.354 | 0.514 |
| Explosiveness | 1.320 | 1.540 |
| Havoc | 0.149 | 0.215 |
| PPA | 0.118 | 0.492 |
| Field position | 71.400 | 70 |
Passing
- Anthony Colandrea · Nebraska18/32 · 275 yds · 7.1 aDOT
- Nick Poulos · Ohio14/31 · 164 yds · 12.7 aDOT
- Matt Vezza · Ohio0/1 · 0 yds · 18.0 aDOT