Northern Illinois @ No. 22 Iowa
9/5/2026, 8:15:00 PM · BTN · 92° · Wind 4 mph · Fair · 0–40 F
Our pick Iowa -31.5Covered by 8.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -32.0 → now -32.0 · total 44.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | -32.0 | 44.5 |
| DraftKings | -31.5 | 44.5 |
Iowa ML · Model 99% · Book 98%
Northern Illinois off a byeIowa off a byeNorthern Illinois +33 days rest
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Iowa -31.5OC Spread Iowa -38.0OC Total 47.06.3 pts vs market
Win probability
Northern Illinois 1%Iowa 99%
Northern IllinoisPower ratingsIowa
SP+Iowa by 37.8
-25.4
12.4
FPIIowa by 35.3
-21.5
13.9
Elo (pts)Iowa by 33.3
-16.9
16.4
COREIowa by 30.9
-21.4
9.5
WEPAIowa by 14.6
-13.2
1.4
SRSIowa by 36.3
-22.0
14.3
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 4-1 · ATS 0-0 from Iowa's side
Game recap
| Metric | Northern Illinois | Iowa |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.045 | 0.471 |
| Explosiveness | 1.020 | 1.370 |
| Havoc | 0.176 | 0.545 |
| PPA | -0.330 | 0.332 |
| Field position | 77.500 | 60.200 |
Passing
- Hank Brown · Iowa12/20 · 129 yds · 9.5 aDOT
- Jeremy Hecklinski · Iowa7/16 · 76 yds · 7.4 aDOT
- Taron Dickens · Northern Illinois9/14 · 96 yds · 13.4 aDOT
- Jalen Macon · Northern Illinois4/10 · 17 yds · 5.0 aDOT