North Texas @ No. 6 Indiana
9/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM · FOX · 87° · Wind 4 mph · Fair · 16–52 F
Our pick North Texas +41.0Covered by 5.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open -41.0 → now -40.0 · total 56.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -39.5 | 56.5 |
| Draft Kings | -39.5 | 57.5 |
| Bovada | -40.5 | 56.0 |
Indiana ML · Model 100%
North Texas off a byeIndiana off a byeNorth Texas +23 days restNorth Texas travels 722 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick North Texas +41.0OC Spread Indiana -32.0OC Total 56.07.7 pts vs market
Win probability
North Texas 0%Indiana 100%
North TexasPower ratingsIndiana
SP+Indiana by 33.5
-8.1
25.4
FPIIndiana by 24.5
0.8
25.3
Elo (pts)Indiana by 17.3
8.0
25.3
COREIndiana by 6.6
1.8
8.3
Head-to-head
Last 2: SU 1-1 · ATS 0-0 from Indiana's side
Game recap
| Metric | North Texas | Indiana |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.350 | 0.511 |
| Explosiveness | 1.650 | 1.570 |
| Havoc | 0.044 | 0.150 |
| PPA | 0.185 | 0.594 |
| Field position | 74.500 | 53.800 |
Passing
- Tayven Jackson · North Texas22/28 · 192 yds · 4.9 aDOT
- Josh Hoover · Indiana13/16 · 231 yds · 7.3 aDOT
- Chaston Ditta · North Texas1/1 · 23 yds · 20.0 aDOT