UAB @ Illinois
9/4/2026, 1:00:00 AM · BTN · 79° · Wind 3 mph · Fair · 23–42 F
Our pick UAB +26.0Covered by 7.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open -28.5 → now -26.0 · total 54.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | -26.5 | 54.5 |
| DraftKings | -25.5 | 53.5 |
Illinois ML · Model 98% · Book 94%
UAB off a byeIllinois off a byeUAB +31 days restUAB travels 461 mi
Ratings matchup
Our pick UAB +26.0OC Spread Illinois -21.5OC Total 54.04.4 pts vs market
Win probability
UAB 3%Illinois 98%
UABPower ratingsIllinois
SP+Illinois by 17.2
-10.4
6.8
FPIIllinois by 20.0
-14.0
5.9
Elo (pts)Illinois by 7.9
-5.2
2.7
COREUAB by 0.7
-3.1
-3.8
WEPAUAB by 1.3
-2.9
-4.2
SRSIllinois by 16.5
-11.9
4.6
Game recap
| Metric | UAB | Illinois |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.426 | 0.568 |
| Explosiveness | 1.260 | 1.350 |
| Havoc | 0.045 | 0.162 |
| PPA | 0.114 | 0.529 |
| Field position | 66.400 | 71.100 |
Passing
- Ryder Burton · UAB18/30 · 219 yds · 10.1 aDOT
- Katin Houser · Illinois13/17 · 182 yds · 7.3 aDOT
