Option Country
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UAB @ Illinois

9/4/2026, 1:00:00 AM · BTN · 79° · Wind 3 mph · Fair · 23–42 F

Our pick UAB +26.0Covered by 7.0

Line movement

Home spread. Open -28.5 → now -26.0 · total 54.0

Books

BookSpreadTotal
Bovada-26.554.5
DraftKings-25.553.5

Illinois ML · Model 98% · Book 94%

UAB off a byeIllinois off a byeUAB +31 days restUAB travels 461 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick UAB +26.0OC Spread Illinois -21.5OC Total 54.04.4 pts vs market

Win probability

UAB 3%Illinois 98%
UABPower ratingsIllinois
SP+Illinois by 17.2
-10.4
6.8
FPIIllinois by 20.0
-14.0
5.9
Elo (pts)Illinois by 7.9
-5.2
2.7
COREUAB by 0.7
-3.1
-3.8
WEPAUAB by 1.3
-2.9
-4.2
SRSIllinois by 16.5
-11.9
4.6

Game recap

MetricUABIllinois
Success rate0.4260.568
Explosiveness1.2601.350
Havoc0.0450.162
PPA0.1140.529
Field position66.40071.100

Passing

  • Ryder Burton · UAB18/30 · 219 yds · 10.1 aDOT
  • Katin Houser · Illinois13/17 · 182 yds · 7.3 aDOT

Win probability