Massachusetts @ Rutgers
9/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM · BTN · 80° · Wind 0 mph · Cloudy · 37–21 F
Our pick Massachusetts +29.5Covered by 45.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -29.5 → now -29.5 · total 55.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | -29.0 | 54.5 |
| DraftKings | -29.5 | 55.5 |
Rutgers ML · Model 98% · Book 96%
Massachusetts off a byeRutgers off a byeMassachusetts +4 days rest
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Massachusetts +29.5OC Spread Rutgers -11.5OC Total 55.517.7 pts vs market
Win probability
Massachusetts 2%Rutgers 98%
MassachusettsPower ratingsRutgers
SP+Rutgers by 6.2
-11.1
-4.9
FPIRutgers by 10.4
-14.7
-4.3
Elo (pts)Rutgers by 9.8
-15.1
-5.3
COREMassachusetts by 2.7
-8.7
-11.4
WEPAMassachusetts by 6.3
-3.7
-9.9
SRSRutgers by 6.3
-13.9
-7.6
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 3-2 · ATS 0-0 from Rutgers's side
Game recap
| Metric | Massachusetts | Rutgers |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.523 | 0.400 |
| Explosiveness | 1.040 | 1.560 |
| Havoc | 0.340 | 0.092 |
| PPA | 0.330 | 0.205 |
| Field position | 60.600 | 75.800 |
Passing
- Dylan Lonergan · Rutgers16/29 · 242 yds · 10.7 aDOT
- William Watson III · Massachusetts19/22 · 197 yds · 11.3 aDOT
- AJ Surace · Rutgers6/9 · 77 yds · 8.2 aDOT