No. 25 Virginia @ No. 14 Wake Forest
10/31/2026, 7:45:00 PM · ESPN2 · 65° · Wind 8 mph · Cloudy · 7–51 F
Line movement
Home spread. Open -13.5 → now -13.0 · total 48.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -13.5 | 48.5 |
| Bovada | -12.5 | 48.0 |
Wake Forest ML · Model 87% · Book 82% · value Wake Forest
Wake Forest off a byeWake Forest +6 days rest
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
OC Spread Wake Forest -13.5OC Total 51.50.6 pts vs market
VirginiaPower ratingsWake Forest
SP+Wake Forest by 6.4
5.8
12.2
FPIWake Forest by 13.8
3.7
17.4
Elo (pts)Wake Forest by 15.8
-1.0
14.8
COREWake Forest by 26.8
-8.1
18.7
WEPAWake Forest by 18.0
-3.4
14.6
SRSWake Forest by 13.8
1.1
14.9
Game recap
| Metric | Virginia | Wake Forest |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.206 | 0.529 |
| Explosiveness | 1.380 | 1.320 |
| Havoc | 0.157 | 0.265 |
| PPA | -0.221 | 0.423 |
| Field position | 74.900 | 67.900 |
Passing
- Beau Pribula · Virginia20/29 · 212 yds · 6.5 aDOT
- Giovanni Lopez · Wake Forest13/21 · 229 yds · 13.0 aDOT
- Eli Holstein · Virginia12/16 · 102 yds · 6.3 aDOT