Stanford @ No. 16 Louisville
10/31/2026, 7:15:00 PM · ACC Network · 70° · Wind 0 mph · Overcast · 24–52 F
Our pick Louisville -21.0Covered by 7.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open -21.0 → now -23.0 · total 60.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -22.5 | 59.5 |
| Bovada | -23.0 | 60.0 |
Louisville ML · Model 98% · Book 92% · value Louisville
Louisville off a byeLouisville +6 days restStanford travels 1975 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Louisville -21.0OC Spread Louisville -26.5OC Total 58.53.6 pts vs market
StanfordPower ratingsLouisville
SP+Louisville by 23.0
-10.8
12.2
FPILouisville by 24.2
-10.0
14.2
Elo (pts)Louisville by 23.3
-14.2
9.0
CORELouisville by 27.5
-13.6
13.9
WEPALouisville by 22.7
-12.7
10.0
SRSLouisville by 22.1
-9.5
12.6
Game recap
| Metric | Stanford | Louisville |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.276 | 0.603 |
| Explosiveness | 1.960 | 1.300 |
| Havoc | 0.155 | 0.172 |
| PPA | -0.142 | 0.445 |
| Field position | 72.400 | 65.800 |
Passing
- Davis Warren · Stanford22/36 · 270 yds · 9.7 aDOT
- Lincoln Kienholz · Louisville20/28 · 250 yds · 10.1 aDOT
- Liam Thorpe · Stanford0/1 · 0 yds · 5.0 aDOT
- Ryan Zimmerman · Louisville1/1 · -1 yds · -1.0 aDOT