No. 25 Pittsburgh @ No. 1 Miami
10/24/2026, 4:00:00 PM · ESPN · 82° · Wind 5 mph · Clear · 23–52 F
Line movement
Home spread. Open -23.5 → now -20.5 · total 50.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -20.5 | 50.5 |
| Bovada | -20.5 | 50.5 |
Miami ML · Model 95% · Book 91% · value Miami
Pittsburgh travels 1001 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Miami
38
OC Spread Miami -21.0OC Total 55.00.3 pts vs market
PittsburghPower ratingsMiami
SP+Miami by 16.8
7.9
24.7
FPIMiami by 17.8
8.4
26.1
Elo (pts)Miami by 14.7
5.0
19.7
COREMiami by 15.4
1.2
16.6
WEPAMiami by 11.1
2.3
13.4
SRSMiami by 14.6
5.6
20.2
Game recap
| Metric | Pittsburgh | Miami |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.520 | 0.467 |
| Explosiveness | 1.880 | 1.720 |
| Havoc | 0.150 | 0.400 |
| PPA | 0.759 | 0.498 |
| Field position | 74.200 | 65.100 |
Passing
- Darian Mensah · Miami31/37 · 387 yds · 7.6 aDOT
- Holden Geriner · Pittsburgh18/32 · 268 yds · 10.7 aDOT
- Corey Dailey · Pittsburgh3/3 · 66 yds · 7.5 aDOT