No. 25 Pittsburgh @ Boston College
10/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM · ESPN2 · 50° · Wind 8 mph · Cloudy · 21–27 F
Our pick Pittsburgh -6.5Did not cover by 12.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open +6.5 → now +6.5 · total 43.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +6.5 | 42.5 |
| Bovada | +6.5 | 43.0 |
Boston College ML · Model 18% · Book 33% · value Pittsburgh
Boston College off a byeBoston College +7 days restPittsburgh travels 477 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Pittsburgh -6.5OC Spread Boston College +10.5OC Total 46.54.1 pts vs market
PittsburghPower ratingsBoston College
SP+Pittsburgh by 9.4
7.9
-1.5
FPIPittsburgh by 12.3
8.4
-4.0
Elo (pts)Pittsburgh by 10.8
5.0
-5.7
COREPittsburgh by 1.1
1.2
0.1
WEPAPittsburgh by 4.6
2.3
-2.3
SRSPittsburgh by 13.1
5.6
-7.5
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 3-2 · ATS 0-0 from Boston College's side
- 2025 · Boston College 7–48unpriced
- 2024 · Boston College 34–23unpriced
- 2023 · Boston College 16–24unpriced
- 2020 · Boston College 31–30unpriced
- 2019 · Boston College 26–19unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Pittsburgh | Boston College |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.485 | 0.388 |
| Explosiveness | 0.700 | 1.620 |
| Havoc | 0.164 | 0.152 |
| PPA | 0.082 | 0.068 |
| Field position | 79.100 | 70.900 |
Passing
- Mason McKenzie · Boston College17/28 · 295 yds · 13.4 aDOT
- Corey Dailey · Pittsburgh11/25 · 193 yds · 11.4 aDOT