No. 16 Louisville @ Syracuse
10/17/2026, 11:30:00 PM · ACC Network · Indoors · 34–26 F
Our pick Syracuse +14.5Covered by 6.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open +14.5 → now +14.5 · total 56.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +14.5 | 56.5 |
| Bovada | +14.5 | 56.0 |
Syracuse ML · Model 19% · Book 18%
Louisville travels 604 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Syracuse +14.5OC Spread Syracuse +10.5OC Total 57.04.1 pts vs market
LouisvillePower ratingsSyracuse
SP+Louisville by 15.0
12.2
-2.8
FPILouisville by 11.8
14.2
2.4
Elo (pts)Louisville by 15.6
9.0
-6.6
CORELouisville by 19.8
13.9
-5.9
WEPALouisville by 14.9
10.0
-4.9
SRSLouisville by 11.1
12.6
1.5
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 2-3 · ATS 0-0 from Syracuse's side
Game recap
| Metric | Louisville | Syracuse |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.426 | 0.425 |
| Explosiveness | 1.650 | 1.070 |
| Havoc | 0.218 | 0.311 |
| PPA | 0.187 | -0.114 |
| Field position | 74.600 | 69 |
Passing
- Malachi Nelson · Syracuse26/39 · 315 yds · 8.2 aDOT
- Lincoln Kienholz · Louisville14/26 · 310 yds · 12.5 aDOT
- Danny Lauter · Syracuse3/6 · 24 yds · 8.7 aDOT