Virginia Tech @ California
10/10/2026, 7:30:00 PM · ACC Network · 61° · Wind 14 mph · Fair · 20–25 F
Our pick California +11.0Covered by 16.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open +9.5 → now +11.0 · total 52.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | +10.0 | 53.0 |
| DraftKings | +11.5 | 51.5 |
California ML · Model 26% · Book 24%
Virginia Tech travels 2273 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick California +11.0OC Spread California +7.0OC Total 52.53.5 pts vs market
Virginia TechPower ratingsCalifornia
SP+Virginia Tech by 17.2
9.0
-8.2
FPIVirginia Tech by 13.0
6.1
-6.9
Elo (pts)Virginia Tech by 12.3
0.6
-11.6
COREVirginia Tech by 18.9
-1.3
-20.2
WEPAVirginia Tech by 12.7
-0.5
-13.1
SRSVirginia Tech by 11.2
1.5
-9.7
Head-to-head
Last 2: SU 1-1 · ATS 0-0 from California's side
- 2025 · California 34–42unpriced
- 2003 · California 52–49unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Virginia Tech | California |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.446 | 0.429 |
| Explosiveness | 1.220 | 1.230 |
| Havoc | 0.186 | 0.169 |
| PPA | 0.170 | 0.102 |
| Field position | 74.800 | 72.500 |
Passing
- Jackson Brousseau · California29/43 · 321 yds · 3.8 aDOT
- Ethan Grunkemeyer · Virginia Tech21/31 · 288 yds · 7.3 aDOT