Syracuse @ No. 25 Virginia
10/10/2026, 11:30:00 PM · ACC Network · 63° · Wind 5 mph · Light Rain · 25–28 F
Our pick Syracuse +14.0Covered by 11.0
3rd & 10 at SYR 13
Line movement
Home spread. Open -9.5 → now -14.0 · total 49.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | -14.0 | 49.0 |
| DraftKings | -14.0 | 49.5 |
Virginia ML · Model 79% · Book 79%
Ratings matchup
Our pick Syracuse +14.0OC Spread Virginia -9.5OC Total 51.04.7 pts vs market
SyracusePower ratingsVirginia
SP+Virginia by 8.6
-2.8
5.8
FPIVirginia by 1.3
2.4
3.7
Elo (pts)Virginia by 5.6
-6.6
-1.0
CORESyracuse by 2.2
-5.9
-8.1
WEPAVirginia by 1.5
-4.9
-3.4
SRSSyracuse by 0.4
1.5
1.1
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 3-2 · ATS 0-0 from Virginia's side
Game recap
| Metric | Syracuse | Virginia |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.386 | 0.464 |
| Explosiveness | 1.450 | 1.140 |
| Havoc | 0.143 | 0.145 |
| PPA | 0.107 | 0.248 |
| Field position | 78.200 | 64.300 |
Passing
- Malachi Nelson · Syracuse16/29 · 217 yds · 13.2 aDOT
- Beau Pribula · Virginia11/20 · 119 yds · 11.2 aDOT
- Danny Lauter · Syracuse2/6 · 50 yds · 19.3 aDOT